Trend analysis in all-India mackerel catches using ARIMA models

Noble, A and Sathianandan, T V (1991) Trend analysis in all-India mackerel catches using ARIMA models. Indian Journal of Fisheries, 38 (2). pp. 119-122.


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Annual mackerel landings in India seem lo exhibit a 10-year cycle in long-term fluctuations. To find a suitable forecasting model for it, the annual catch data from 1950 lo 1989 were studied following Box- Jenkins method for lime series analysis, and ARIMA (1,0,0), was identified as the suitable one. Catch predictions by this also hinted at 10-year cycle but seemed to lack seasonal term.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Trend analysis; mackerel; ARIMA models
Subjects: Pelagic Fisheries > Mackerel fishery
Marine Fisheries > Estimation
Divisions: CMFRI-Cochin > Marine Capture > Fishery Resource Assessment
CMFRI-Cochin > Marine Capture > Pelagic Fisheries
Depositing User: Dr. V Mohan
Date Deposited: 26 Mar 2010 08:58
Last Modified: 09 Sep 2015 15:06

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